Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland
Browse
Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2. the COVIDSurg mortality score.pdf (485.58 kB)

Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: The COVIDSurg mortality score

Download (485.58 kB)
journal contribution
posted on 2024-05-21, 14:08 authored by COVIDSurg Collaborative, Dara KavanaghDara Kavanagh, J De Marchi, Arnold HillArnold Hill, T Farrell, N F Davis, D Kearney, T Nelson
To support the global restart of elective surgery, data from an international prospective cohort study of 8492 patients (69 countries) was analysed using artificial intelligence (machine learning techniques) to develop a predictive score for mortality in surgical patients with SARS-CoV-2. We found that patient rather than operation factors were the best predictors and used these to create the COVIDsurg Mortality Score (https://covidsurgrisk.app). Our data demonstrates that it is safe to restart a wide range of surgical services for selected patients.

Funding

National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Global Health Research Unit Grant (NIHR 16.136.79)

Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland

Bowel & Cancer Research

Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons

British Association of Surgical Oncology

British Gynaecological Cancer Society

European Society of Coloproctology

Medtronic

NIHR Academy

The Urology Foundation

Sarcoma UK

Vascular Society for Great Britain and Ireland

Yorkshire Cancer Research

MRC Health Data Research UK (HDRUK/CFC/01), an initiative funded by UK Research and Innovation, Department of Health and Social Care (England)

Wellcome Trust 4-year studentship programme in mechanisms of inflammatory disease (MIDAS; 215182/Z/19/Z)

Bowel Research UK

History

Data Availability Statement

Data sharing requests will be considered by the management group upon written request to the corresponding author

Comments

The original article is available at https://academic.oup.com/

Published Citation

COVIDSurg Collaborative. Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score. Br J Surg. 2021;108(11):1274-1292.

Publication Date

6 July 2021

PubMed ID

34227657

Department/Unit

  • Beaumont Hospital
  • Surgery
  • Surgical Affairs

Research Area

  • Gynaecology, Obstetrics and Perinatal Health
  • Health Professions Education
  • Surgical Science and Practice
  • Cancer

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Version

  • Published Version (Version of Record)